On Monday, struggling Yankees reliever Devin Williams gave up four runs in the eighth inning as the Padres rallied for a 4-3 victory.

The Pirates are +203 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Mets (-247).

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information a...