We asked seven leading AI models to analyze the most plausible scenario for how the conflict between Israel and Iran will play out.

Rising tensions over Iran's nuclear program have escalated amid diplomatic breakdowns, military preparations, and threats of conflict across the Middle East.

The opening of a new front in the conflict between Israel and Iran has brought geopolitical risk straight back into the foreign exchange calculus. After the Israeli strikes Friday morning, the dollar witnessed an element of the “flight-to-safety” characteristic traditionally associated with military escalation but as ING points out in its daily research note,

Israel’s attack on Iran was long in the making – the result of years of meticulous planning by Israel and days of high-stakes talks between Tel Aviv and Washington, officials told CNN.

Israel's latest action pits traditional Republican support for Israel — and antipathy toward Iran — against the MAGA base's fear that the U.S. will be drawn into a new foreign war.

Keep an eye out for signs of labor-market weakness, as well as the risk that rising oil prices could put more upward pressure on inflation.