The Economy Is Turning Into a Black Box

Sophisticated private sources could provide a fuller picture of the state of the economy. But the government is not even ...
City Journal

Why Is Economic Data Disappearing?

What matters more: actual economic performance or the perception of it? Fundamentals clearly influence public opinion: if the economy is growing rapidly, people tend to notice. Yet perception can both ...

What is the Fed's outlook for interest rate cuts, inflation and jobs for the remainder of the year?

Federal Reserve policymakers projected inflation will rise to 3% in 2025 while unemployment will reach 4.5% as the central ...

The jobs reports were revised down by 911,000. What does it say about the economy?

U.S. employers added nearly a million fewer workers than previously believed, according to a Labor Department report out Sept ...

Sorry Jerome, weakening economic data is ‘exactly what markets needed’, says Wharton professor

Jerome Powell’s Fed faces labor market weakness as Wall Street bets on rate cuts, with Jeremy Siegel and Goldman Sachs ...

This housing data is the ‘most critical economic variable’ for predicting recessions, and it’s now at the lowest level since pandemic shutdowns

Moody’s own leading economic indicator that uses machine learning has estimated the odds of a recession in the next 12 months are now at 48%.
Marketplace

With Trump taking aim at government economic data, what other sources can businesses turn to?

The Bureau of Labor Statistics remains without a permanent leader. President Donald Trump fired commissioner Erika McEntarfer on Aug. 1, and claimed that the monthly jobs numbers were “rigged” to make ...

The economy is chugging along, but consumers are uneasy

The Federal Reserve weighs its first rate cut since December as wealthier consumers prop up spending levels and the job ...
Opinion

Context is critical when using economic data | Opinion

While the numbers themselves may be accurate, the context is usually what prevents you from being misled. When the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) ...