Life is uncertain. None of us know what is going to happen. We know little of what has happened in the past or is happening now outside our immediate experience. Uncertainty has been called the ...
Bayesian uncertainty analysis represents a powerful statistical framework that integrates prior knowledge with observed measurement data to quantify uncertainty in a consistent probabilistic manner.
The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck. By David Spiegelhalter. Pelican; 512 pages; £22. To be published in America by W.W. Norton in March; $32.99 A hazard of ...
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